Indian Market Expectations, Stock Market Today:
- BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty anticipated to open positively on December 14.
- Tracking gains in GIFT Nifty, US S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite, all showing over 1 percent increase.
Analysis of Previous Market Movements:
- December 13 saw mild gains in benchmark indices after recovering from earlier lows.
- Analysts view the sideways movement as ‘normal’ consolidation following a prolonged bull run that led to the market entering an ‘overbought’ zone.
Closing Figures:
- Sensex closed at 69,585, up 34 points (0.05%).
- Nifty closed at 20,926, up 20 points (0.01%).
Nifty Options Data:
- Suggested resistance levels at 21,000–21,100 in the near term.
- Support levels at 20,800–20,900.
GIFT Nifty Trends:
- GIFT Nifty signals a positive start with a gain of 220 points (1.05%).
- Nifty futures trading at 21,240.
US Market Highlights:
- US stocks reached new yearly highs on Wednesday.
- S&P 500 exceeded 4,700, Dow Jones hit a record, and Nasdaq 100 surged over 50% in 2023.
- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish signals contributed to the positive market sentiment.
Asian Markets Outlook:
- Asian markets predominantly green on Thursday.
- Global rally driven by signs of the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts in 2024.
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng up over 2%, South Korea’s KOSPI up 1.4%, China’s Shanghai Composite up over 0.5%, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.4%.
Federal Reserve’s Policy Outlook:
- US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 5.25–5.5% on December 13.
- Chairman Jerome Powell signals a dovish outlook for 2024, hinting at rate cuts.
- Fed dot plot suggests rates ending 2024 at 4.5–4.75% and further declines in 2025 at 3.5–3.75%.
Impact on Bonds and Dollar:
- US treasury bond yields experienced pressure, falling below 4%.
- Dollar index declined to 102.9 after the dovish Fed outlook, encouraging borrowing and impacting the greenback.
Indian Rupee and Oil Prices:
- Indian rupee settled at a record closing low of 83.4 against the US dollar.
- OPEC+ maintains its forecast for world oil demand growth in 2023, boosting oil prices. Brent Crude at $75 per barrel, WTI Crude at $70 per barrel.
Gold and Cryptocurrency Movement:
- Gold prices rose over 1% post-Fed’s interest rate pause.
- Bitcoin surged above $42,000 following the Fed’s dovish comments.
FII and DII Data:
- FIIs net bought shares worth Rs 4,711 crore.
- DIIs offloaded Rs 958 crore worth of stocks on December 13.
Buzzing Stocks:
- State Bank of India: Signing a 70-million-euro line of credit with German development bank KfW for supporting solar PV projects in India.
- Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation: Expanding business beyond railways to promote brand nationwide.
- NBCC (India): Bags order for the construction of 1,469 warehouses under the world’s largest grain storage plan.
- Biocon: Associate Bicara Therapeutics Inc completes $165-million Series C financing, impacting Biocon’s shareholding.
IPO News:
INOX India, the leading manufacturer of cryogenic storage tanks, garnered significant investor interest as it raised Rs 437.8 crore from a diverse group of investors via the anchor book on December 13, one day before the InoxCVA IPO opens for subscription.
- The InoxCVA IPO is set to open for subscription on December 14, with the closing date scheduled for December 18.
- The Vadodara-based company aims to raise Rs 1,459.32 crore through the public issue, offering shares in the price band of Rs 627–660 per share.
- Global investors, including prestigious names like Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Nomura Trust, Goldman Sachs, Carmignac Portfolio, HSBC Global, Volrado Venture, and Natixis International Funds, demonstrated their confidence in INOX India by participating in the anchor book.
In summary, the stock market reflects a positive global sentiment, driven by the Federal Reserve’s dovish signals. Investors are closely monitoring the impact on currencies, commodities, and individual stocks. The dovish outlook, combined with a surge in global markets, sets the stage for intriguing market dynamics and potential opportunities.